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Nintendo will release their next console first judging by the lack of third party support, as we all know from past generations the console with the most third party support will live the longest and this is no exception. Third party have already decided to bring most of the support to the HD consoles. We also began to see from current sales data that the wii is slowly but surely droping closer to each HD console, When their price start to come down then their sales will start to elapse to Wii's user base because its in our human nature we'll look for upgrade in better stuff(graphic) to statisfy our wants.