Games expected to sell well (qualify well) that will bomb (define) in 200

[hanafuda]

Super Paper Mario - This isn't what the majority of Wii owners want to be doing with their Wiis, and I think it has a hard sell to the 'gamers' too.

Blue Dragon - For the reasons already stated.

Ninja Gaiden Sigma (PS3, Japan) -  I can't see this doing big business.  Respectable business maybe.  I see it doing very nicely in other regions though.

Metroid Prime 3 - It has to compete with the big boys and no excuses.  It will make or break FPSs using the Wiimote, and I predict the latter.

Brain Training Wii - It isn't going to do anything like the DS versions.  Also, the fad is over.