@ friedtofu
I can see how you would come to the first part of your theory based on the tech gap between the three systems. However, you seem to ignore history in your logic. Nearly every 'winner' of the generation was not the most powerful system. Basically that extra power didn't really matter. As devs start to focus on the system with the largest user base, the games are all tailored for that system. Thus, what may actually happen, is games will be made on Wii first. Then ported to 360/ps3. Thus, the extra power is null and void as the difference in games will be minimal.
Right now, many wii 3rd party games are being built on Ps2 engines due to its large userbase and the devs are only creating new engines on the 360. As xmas passes and 2008 progresses we will see Wii's userbase expand further. This will resource shift will then solidify around the Wii, just as it did the PS2 last gen.
Basically, unless this holiday shows a major advance for either ps3 and/or 360 over the wii, the wii will have won and will get the king's share of all 3rd party support. Granted, only kicker would be MS's money and buying exclusives.
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