Lifetime sales: 360 or PSP?

[johnsobas]

Louie said:

davygee said:

End of 2007 - 360 - 15m, PSP - 28m  

End of 2008 - 360 - 18m, PSP - 33m 

End of 2009 - 360 - 20m, PSP - 36m

End of 2010 - 360 - 21m, PSP - 38m

Sounds possible. The PSP will end at 10 million units sold in Japan I think but the N64 sold better in the US than the PSP did till today and the N64 reached the 20 million mark.

My thoughts for the PSP:

Japan 10 million

America  15- 20 million

Europe 8 -10 million

I expect it to sell between 35-40 million units in it´s lifetime.

 

For the 360: The US numbers are actually higher than the numbers of the first Box were and the XBox sold 16 million in the americas alone. Also the XBox was launched one year after the PS2 so the lifecicle of the 360 should be one year longer.

My thoughts:

Japan: 1 million

America: 20 - 25 million

Europe: 8 - 10 million

I´ll just throw in the number 32.93 million consoles - that´s what the N64 sold and I expect the 360 to reach similar numbers.

i like that estimate, and i think too many people overestimate 360 because they don't take the fact that 360 is only selling really well in 1 territory seriously.  By all means in the US it will sell very well, but it also has great competition in Wii and Ps3.  In Japan even 1 million is pretty high.