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akuma587 said:

Your data proves my point while also proving your point.

Data you cited (first link):

Bachelor's Degree - From the first three categories - Democrat (Strong Democrat, Not Str Dem, Ind. Near Dem.)

42.9%

Bachelor's Degree - From the last three categories - Republican (Strong Republican, Not Str. Rep., Ind. Near Rep.)

46%

A whopping three percentage points.  If you are trying to hang your hat on that as statistically significant, then you should go take a statistics class.

Data you cited (first link):

Graduate Degree - From the first three categories - Democrat (Strong Democrat, Not Str Dem, Ind. Near Dem.)

50%

Graduate Degree - From the last three categories - Republican (Strong Republican, Not Str. Rep., Ind. Near Rep.)

37%

That is a much broader gap that cannot be attributed to statistical irregularities.  Thirteen percentage points.

You are missing one big factor.  There are more registered Democrats than Republicans.  So all your data proves is that Democrats have more uneducated voters AND more educated voters than Republicans.  Your data shows that Republicans are losing BOTH of these demographics.

 

You forgot to read the first few lines of data before spouting off about graduates and bachelors degrees being higher for Democrats. There were more Dems interviewed, therefore their numbers will be higher, regardless. You should have checked what % of total Democrats and Republicans held a degree, or lack of it.

If you actually analyzed the data, you'd get the following:

  • Of the 20,563 Democrats (Strong, Not Str, and near Ind.),  16.3% had a bachelors or graduates degree.
  • Of the 14,031 Republicans (Strong, Not Str, and near Ind.), 22.3% had a bachelors or grduates degree.

That's a 6.0% gap in favor of the Republicans for both categories.

As for those that did not graduate:

  • 29.1% of Democrat-leaning respondents did not graduate high school (5,993 of 20,563)
  • 18.7% of Republican-leaning respondents did not graduate high school (2,636 of 14,031)

Do you see where you went wrong? You can't just add up % because they are inequal....They didn't actually seek to analyze the Democratic and Republican userbases. I would suggest you brush up on statistics before using the bunk percentages you cited.

Furthermore, the data doesn't show that Republicans are losing either cateogory. It just means that there were more respondants that stated they leaned Democrat. Given the fact there were approximately 35% more Democrats surveyed doesn't mean much, given the fact that there was a significantly higher level of education among Republicans than Democrats - enough of a gap to absolve the numerical superiority of Democrat respondants.

You could also look at site #2 - the Pew Research survey that gives similar results as my analysis above.

 



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.