Xbox 360 Sales Chart: September 15th (Halotastic boost!)

[mrstickball]

Halo3 hyping fever is now in full-swing, with a 15% increase week over week. Also, we're in the post-NPD era now, and have seen a few games take a nosedive, which I will argue.

This Wk	Last Wk	Name	Week Sales	Total Sales	% Drop	Wks in Release	Expected LTD
#1	#3	Bioshock	90,855	746,750	-19.1%	4	1,500,000+
#2	#1	Medal of Honor: Airborne	60,968	202,425	-57.0%	2	450,000
#3	#2	Stranglehold	53,667	217,786	-67.4%	2	500,000
#4	----	.Skate	51,288	51,288	----	1	200,000+
#5	#4	Madden NFL 2008	44,354	1,061,416	-24.1%	5	2,000,000
#6	---	NHL 08	37,448	37,448	---	1	150,000
#7	#5	Tiger Woods 08	28,007	143,595	-28.1%	3	350,000?
#8	#6	Two Worlds	26,292	218,746	-23.0%	4	400,000
#9	#8	Guitar Hero 2	19,426	1,215,106	-5.0%	24	1,500,000
#10	#10	Rainbow Six Vegas	17,975	1,157,280	-3.8%	43	1,300,000

 

My notes:

#1 Bioshock is just......Ungodly. I was right in saying it'd drop quickly on week 2, but have strong legs. Selling almost 100k on week 4 + having a sub-20% drop is just insane. Expect this to be a beast, and stay in the top-50 for the rest of the year.

#2 and #3 had big, but expected drops. They'll continue to plummet until new owners snatch them up during Christmas.

#4. Skate (imo) bombed. The few people I know that bought it, loved it, and I figured it'd indicate good first week sellthrough, but it didn't. Nevertheless, it should sell well, and end up doing managable numbers.

#5. Madden continues to do great, despite such huge numbers. VGC casterated the numbers, but it's still managing great numbers, and 2m LTD should still happen.

Rest of the titles were expected. I will probably argue with ioi over Blue Dragon data. It should be a bit higher, due to the extra day VGC accounted for vs. NPD. ioi only counted US sales, for 3 days on NPD, versus the legitimate numbers of Canada + VGC's 4 day period. If thats the case, BD probably did 65k first week, and should be around 10-20% higher than the tepid 78k it's done in 3 weeks.

Also, Oblivion got a 300%+ boost from the GOTY edition. If it ever gets a price drop, it'll do insane numbers. Nothing like a 1 and 1/2 year old game coming back to chart.

 

Japanese Charts:

This Wk	Last Wk	Name	Wk Sales	Total Sales	% Drop	Wks in Release	Expected LTD
#1	#1	TES: Oblivion	1,782	73,558	-18.8%	8	100,000
#2	#2	Hitman: Blood Money	1,150	10,145	-55.9%	3	13,000
#3	#3	Trusty Bell: Chopin's Dream	331	70,224	-18.7%	14	72,500+
#4	#4	Ghost Recon: AW2	275	18,166	-17.0%	10	19,000
#5	#5	Blue Dragon	237	197,334	-18.3%	41	205,000
#6	#6	Viva Pinata	150	19,732	-21.1%	36	20,000+

Notes:

The real #1 was Mousou Orochi. However, for some reason it's not there...I don't know if Famitsu never got the numbers, ioi failed to report them, or what. At any rate, MO should of sold ~3,000 units on the week.

#1. Oblivion continues to just be beastly for a western game. Very few games have had these kinds of legs in Japan (LCS for PSP might be the only other one to come to mind right now). Oblivion has now officially passed  ahead of #2 Dead or Alive 4, week over week, and still tracks 1k more per week than DOA4. I expect 100k, because I just don't know what will happen, but 100k is a safe bet. It could, however, hit 125k or so in the end, if Oblivion got strong boosts from AC6, and Halo3.

#2. Hitman does suprisingly well. Despite having an abysmal 6.5k start, it'll wind up with a 2x multiplier: a good effort for a Western game.

Outside of #1 and #2, there's nothing remotely interesting. Everything drops 18%. Big whoop.

 

Next week is Halo3. This should help X360 sales a bit. I would project hardware sales at 4,000, and it should move a bit of software too. IMO, a 30% increase in old games, all of them, should happen. Halo3 should also sell ~50k units first week, if my projections are right. First Day sales should wind up @ 30-35k.