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bugrimmar said:
shadow of the colossus is an action/adventure game. it's not a niche.

ico, however, is a real niche, and it took a long ass time before it got where it is now.

heavy rain is just like ico. sure, it might reach like 800k or something. but it'll take a long, long time. don't forget, the ps3's userbase is also very small at the moment.

 

Ico was a game that featured a boy with horns and somewhat barren gameworld.  I can see how the casual and mainstream gamer might be turned off by the small amount of info they get from the box.

I think heavy Rain has a higher chance of snagging the casual and mainstream gamer with it's modern day 'catch a serial killer' theme. Add the gorgeous lead character to that mix. :P

 

It just seems too early to doom the game to a certain fate right now. It could grab a million, or it could be as you predict, or even worse!

 



Person 1: Does Valkyria Chronicles have trophies?
Person 2:  No.
Person 1: Forget it. I'm not buying it.
Person 2: Wait! It's amazing! Unique, charming, drop dead gorgeous... Hello?