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bugrimmar said:

games like ico are fabulous, but they failed to sell all that well despite great reviews simply because of their niche genre target.

As far as we know, Shadow of the Colossus was far past a million and ICO was close.

I'm not claiming that Heavy Rain will undoubtedly reach a million lifetime, it'll be close either way.
But at the same time, I wouldn't rule out the possibility, especially considering how little we know about the game.