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This guestimation game is interesting. About every title released on the PS3 has it pegged as a "system seller". Each time, it does produce a blip, along the lines of the 360 in Japan, but doesn't build up traction.

It will be interesting to see what becomes of Gran Turismo. When the original title hit, it put the monster number of cars in a game genre on the map. It build up a large following and became a franchise. However, as time has gone on, the concept has been replicated a LOT of times. Will need to see how much of an impact GT5 has on things. Considering how late in the game it is set to come out, whether or not it will be a massive system seller or not remains to be seen.