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HappySquirriel said: Well, being that GTA 4 has only sold 10 Million copies on the PS3 and XBox 360 after a full year I don't see how they could possibly approach 15 million copies sold ... At the same time Wii Fit has almost sold 17 Million units and sells over 200,000 every week, and Mario Kart Wii has sold amost 15 Million units and sells over 100,000 per week, so it is obvious that the high end sales potential on the HD consoles is not better than the Wii.
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Yeah, but no third party has come close to being able to achieve those type of numbers. At this point, I'm not sure there is any reason to think that one would be able to. The sales numbers of Nintendo games seem like they don't really relate to the sales of third party games, and I don't think it's fair to use them to build sales expectations or hypothetical sales numbers.
The ceiling so far for a third party game is around 7 million...for a game that has Mario in the title. The next closest third party game is at around 4 million. Those numbers are a far cry from being anywhere near the "high end sales potential" you are talking about. Two third party games on the 360 are at 7 million mark (without Mario in the title BTW), so I think you can make the argument that the actual sales potential is about the same for third party games on the 360 and the Wii. The 360 also has about 20 more million sellers from third parties than does the Wii. Sales potential involves the expected number of a product that the company expects to be able to sell...I doubt there is any publisher listing their sales potential for a Wii game anywhere near that of the Nintendo developed games.
