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superchunk said:

Well, as I stated many times before the PS3 will finish 2nd IMHO. It will not pass 360 in 2008, but it will eventually. The reason is solely due to Japan being much more in PS3's favor, especially after games like FF13 drop. Then, unlike right now, PS3 will eventually gain Others, this will be enough to put PS3 in a comfortable 2nd place.

 

EDIT: I read the first few posts and removed my beginning paragraph. 


Not that I disagree with what you're saying, but the Gamecube sold far better in Japan than the XBox did and the XBox still sold more units worldwide than the Gamecube did ...

In my opinion, what will determine whether the PS3 can move into second place will be how third party developers are treating the PS3 in the second half of 2008. If the PS3 can maintain a steady stream of high quality exclusive third party games in 2008 and 2009 the PS3 may start to gain on the XBox 360 at a rapid rate and pass it by 2011. On the other hand, if the PS3 ends up sharing most third party games with the XBox 360, the 360 will retain its lead outside of Japan and the PS3 will not get close to catching it. In the worst case scenerio, if third parties begin to abandon the PS3 in favour of the Wii or the XBox 360 sales will drop off for the PS3 because people will not be motivated to buy a $300/$400 console with no games ...