Great post Nasfer !
Your views are quite interesting.
I should add my grain of salt.
Some have difficulties to deal with numbers.
If we can define the videogame industry as "maintream" for now, there is a lot of room to reach the penetration of books, cinema, DVD or CD.
That is simple as that. I don't get the problems some have to simply admit that.
Nintendo failed and missed the point of last expansion when the shift from 2D / 16 bit occured to 3D / 32 bits, 10 years ago.
At this time the size of the market grew from let's say 50M to 100M for the home console.
I think there is ONE POSSIBILITY is that Wii will be the key factor of a new expansion to 150M-200M.
The DS has proven that some games can be oriented towards other populations with games like BT, Nintendogs ans so on.
Those games simply cannot be so entertaining on PSP (as proven by the sales of the copycats on this console).
What is so disturbing for the "real" gamers in that ?
4 months is clearly far too early to be affirmative, but where is the problem to simply admit the possibility ?
To come back to what Wii brings :
- When you get used to the controller, i can assure those who did not try it that you feel very uncomfortable when you come back to a normal one
- Given the HD display penetration, i think the calculus made by Nintendo 2 years ago is the right one : Last analysis expect 50% penetration for 2011 !
- The quality of the image is not so ugly some would imagine on a HD display (but clearly, you would better not imagine having Geow on Wii ...)
To finish with, as a huge gamer for 15 years, in my eyes, PS3 and Xbox are far more "last-gen" than Wii.
I'm ready to have a good discussion if you want, but here are my main concerns:
- PS3 /Xbox360 are marketted / enginered the same way that consoles were for 10 years.
- The fans "defending" those are using the same arguments we had for ten years :
+ Power
+ Graphics
+ AI / physics
The fact is : as a gamer, i have eaten enough of that for my whole life. The future of gaming is in no way there.