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Yakuzaice said:

Was the 5000 number ever actually stated by the NPD though?  Or was that just assumed based on the 25% figure.

I realize that the 57% is just out of the gaming subset of the population.

After looking around a little more, it seems few sources totally understood the numbers.  Some say half of the 20,000 play online on the 360.  Some agree with Gamespot, others with Arstechnica, etc.

Anyways, it seems to be....

61% of the population 2 years and older play games.
57% of those gamers play online
2008 saw a 19% increase over 2007
2009 has seen a 25% increase over 2008
Out of the 57% of gamers who play games online...
87% play on PC
50% play on 360
29% play on Wii
20% play on PS3

That's a fair interpretation.  But people read into the bolded #'s too much.  The bolded numbers are more of a (poor) marker of overall marketshare.  Some other interpretations:

Most households have a computer in them these days.  In order to play games online, you need the internet, and a gamer.  Because of the way this poll is conducted, the PC representation is very high because of the fact that both required factors are already present in nearly every household that does play games online.  I'm actually somewhat surprised the % for PC isn't higher, as I'm sure most gamers have played at least a flash game over the previous year.

Based on marketshare, the Wii is actually under represented, meaning that fewer wii gamers by % are going online.  Whereas the 360 appears to be over represented.  Which makes sense as the 360 has a good marketshare in N.A. and is geared towards online gamers.  Can't comment much on PS3, might be a little under represented for online presence based on marketshare, but I don't like to speculate on data that is already hideously vague.