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Pristine20 said:
I doubt it. I don't think most of the people who bought the wii for wii sports are waiting for an update but I could be wrong.

Very.... in fact of those that bought the Wii FOR Wii Sports (ie those who had never really gamed, or wouldn't have considered buying the Wii until they played WS at someones house) there is likely an overwhelming majority that will buy this.

If you are talking about "waiting" as in hyping it up in their minds so they have to get it week 1 though, then perhaps you are correct, but it's not just those who bought the Wii for Wii Sports only who will be getting this game, and by sheer numbers of people anticipating the game (I am certainly getting it, and not because it has WM+, but because I still love WS) it will sell well the first week, in fact the main limiting factor is going to be Nintendo's supply of the game. I don't believe it is an option to have the game seperate from the perephrial as it is meant as a showcase of WM+ and likely won't work without it... which means like Wii Fit, initial supply (and perhaps long time supply too) will be low.
And in truth, even if supply were adequate I still don't think it could make 4 million on the first week, but it would sure have a good shot at 2-3 million. (wheras as it is I think it will be around 1.5-2 million)