What would be the overall result of a stalemate between Wii and PS3 in Japan?

[Aiemond]

jammy2211 said:

Aiemond said:

Procrastinato said:
If the PS3 gains a significant foothold in Japan, it'll bring a lot of niche games to US and EU shores -- namely JRPGs.

Since JRPGs don't require a lot of CPU horsepower, typically (GPU is another story), the PS3 would be like an uber Wii, as far as small Japanese devs were concerned -- a 3.2 GHz CPU plus a 550 MHz GPU with a truckload of memory, compared to the Wii at ~0.75 GHz CPU and ~250 MHz GPU.

Without the SPUs in the picture, the PS3 is no harder than the Wii to develop for, really, except of course for the fancy texture work if you want to use the spiffier GPU's best features.

If there are ever enough PS3s in Japan, you can believe there will be a lot of JRPGs for it -- with the SPUs out of the picture, as I said, the "HD cliff" becomes much less difficult to climb. Many of the PS3's release titles didn't use the SPUs, and their dev time was greatly shortened... which probably also means they were a lot cheaper to make as well.

 

Why would they pick the ps3? Even if it keeps at the current rate wii still has more systems in japan. Plus, wii has significantly higher numbers in the other two regions. If they are thinking of localizing it makes no sense to pick all the ps3. Lastly, if the rpg games are being announced now (which they are) and are for the wii, why would they split their fanbase?

 The one iffy thing about the Wii is third party sales in Japan. They've been absymal, with flop after flop. PS3 isn't exactly setting the world alight but you can see there is chance for successes - White Knight Chronicles did well, Demon Souls seem to have exceeded expectations, there are other exampls I tend to forget.

 Most devs will just keep with the PSP and DS ahead of Wii and PS3, but I'm sure a few will choose PS3. Afterall they've got the Final Fantasy market to feed off after XIII releases, and if planning on going for the western market too can feed of 360's RPG fanbase?

 We've not really see any RPG's on the Wii or PS3 yet outside of Japan so it's too hard to judge, I'd guess third parties don't know either. It seems to make more sense just keeping their support on the DS though :/.

 

Well, for ps3 you have wkc and you have ffxii and vs13. For wii you have tales of 10, dq X, Arc Rise Fantasia. Those are the bigger ones right now. And wii third party sales are not worse than ps3 ones. WKC showed ps3 can sell 300k of a super hyped game, but wii showed it can sell about 220k of a low budget spin off with ToSDOTNW.

 

We need to see more games come out, but there is no real reason to think ps3 sells more games than wii. When ARF comes out I think we will see more of how it goes. Plus, as for ffxiii, DQX sells more units and systems in japan :P

 

 

Edit: Here is a good list of the rpgs we know are coming to the wii.

 

http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=39727