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these forcasts are for 5 and 6 years away. Nintendo hasnt won yet. You gotta wait for this wii fad to wear off. Only so many grandma's, physical therapy clinics, soccer moms, and people who just got to have the latest fad will be buying Wii's. The wii wont have a 5-6 year lifespan, much less a 9-10 year lifespan the ps3 will have.