| mrstickball said: Which of said games actually have a release date? You gave no release date other than '2009'. I can do the same with a ton of Xbox 360 games, too. And for the record, Halo 3 ODST will easily outsell all of your listed exclusives. So I fail to see how they'd win marketshare when 1 Xbox 360 game may outsell most of them combined. I don't understand your argument about what X360 games will move hardware - as you aruge they're all sequels - but you just listed a bunch of PS3 sequels too (save MAG). Your argument won't get anywhere until we have the full list of games that launch worldwide in 2009 for both systems. Until then, you are just speculating. And given how often Playstation 3 games get delayed, I tend to think it's not a great argument till the release dates get confirmed. |
First of all you need to understand that just because a game sells millions of copies, doesn't make it a system seller. A system seller is a game that will attract a signficant number of people to purchase a system alongside the game's release. That being said, Halo 3: ODST will not be a system seller because it's target market is at people who already own a 360 and a copy of Halo 3.
The ones that I argue against the 360 as being sequels (sans Forza 3) are all titles that will not sell more than a million copies with some not even selling half that. They're relatively small-time exclusives in comparison with multimillion selling franchises such as Ratchet & Clank and Uncharted. In regards to Forza, it's the exact opposite in that it's sold too many. Forza 2 was so successful that it saturated the market which will make it more difficult for Forza 3 to move systems than Uncharted 2 or Ratchet & Clank Future 2. When it comes to system selling sequels, there's a fine line between being too small, and being too big.
You're quite right that this is all pure speculation. Things could easily change. Microsoft could come up with a LittleBigPlanet out of their ass for all we know. However, that doesn't change the fact that we already know at least 90% of the games upcoming this year that will move a significant amount of systems for either console and that the 360's lineup is extremely weak in that regard in comparison with the PS3's, baring 4 or 5 games somehow get delayed until 2010.
