vthokiesrmoo said:
First of all, where are you getting 9 million + from? I actually take back my statement that the PS3 won't out sell the 360 in 2009, I was thinking of NA region. I think it will outsell it everywhere but the good ol' US of A, with total sales in favor of the PS3. Second of all, yeah i do believe by Q3 2010 the PS3 will have overtaken the 360 in worldwide sales, with its year less on the market of course. By then I feel like alllllllllllllllllllllll those PS2 users (140 million - 22 million that already own PS3s) in Japan and around the world will be ready for the upgrade. I think all you 360 fanboys might be ready for a little change by then too ;). Another year and a half for people to think about getting an HDTV and a Blu-ray player. Throw a price cut in there, GoW3, GT5, FFXIII, FFXIII Versus and I think it'll be DAMN close around that time.
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So many flaws in there... i don't know where to begin....
First, you are banking on the hope there will be a price cut, and a significant one at that, AND that Microsoft won't counter. Basically Sony says there will be no cut, Microsoft says they will be ready to act if Sony does cut... soooo... yeah.
You really think that 22 million PS2 owers have a PS3? That's odd... the PS3 LTD is only at 19.9 million. You also seem to think that at all PS2 users will go to the PS3, but the PS2 was a vastly different console than the PS3 is. The PS2 was last generations casual console (almost like the Wii is this generation), while this year the PS3 is ALL hardcore. Even Microsoft has a wider variety of games with more audiences in mind than Sony.
People will still buy HDTV's and Blu-Ray players. People who get HDTV's can get a 360 to enjoy HD out of the box with no HDMI cable (pro console) or HDMI included (Elite console). And they can then get a $100 or less Blu-Ray player by the end of that year and a half, so why would they spend $300+ on a PS3 when by that time an Xbox 360 + Blu-Ray player would be about $250-275.
You also seem to think that Microsoft's games won't sell, and will not release any that pertain to new audiences. The PS3 is the console with only big sequels coming and new IPs that mostly target the existing audience. How will that cause things to increase sales-wise?
It will be about a 9 million gap by the time Sony makes a price cut this year (if they even do) and in order to close a 9 million gap in say 9 months time.... well you can do the math and realize how impossible it will be.
If Sony ever catches up to Microsoft, it will be a year after Microsoft has launched their next generation console.







