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RPG said:

1 million I would say but really I find it hard to think either of the games will sell anything close to a COD or Halo. I bring those up because those are the big shooters out there, GeOW has a big following and one would think Killzone 2 will do well.

1 million for each is a good number, will not come close to sales of HD shooters though. Hoping for 1 million sales for these games really does show what the audience for the Wii is like, especially when "carnival games" can do 3 million with ease.

Now which would have cost more of the 3? I do not see the reason Sega are not just making casual games especially with the success of the Olympics game.

 

Too many fishermen for one river. Everyone went after that market, but people don't actually want tonnes of mini game compliations. That's why Mario Kart Wii is so successful, it's bringing those people upstream. Games that bring the expanded market further upstream are where it's at. Conduit may be one of those, the next Zelda will certainly be one of those. Even Sports Resort is one of those, as the Jet Ski game is supposed to be quite deep.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.