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Well I think a good example right now is that New Super Mario Bros when it launched sold close to 1 million in its first week. And although their are huge differences in userbase between DS and Wii at their respective times of launches, the fanbase isn't going to change.

So I'd say anywhere from 700k to 800k in the first week for Galaxy in Japan is a good estimate. And sales of Wii will simply depend on how many Nintendo pump out for that specific week. But should be a lot with the big release plus it's November.