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DirtyP2002 said:

If you are a 3rd party publisher, you see the one console selling more than the other one, you see that the userbase is already 8 million bigger, you see it is selling more software per console, you see the other one stuggles to drop price and to appear to a wider market and the leading one offers you a decent amount of money to make your game exclusive... what would you do?

Maybe some 3rd party publishers decide to go exclusive again...?

 

What has a higher chance of selling more copies of a game (Is all you need to ask yourself)....a console with a 20 million user base or those 8 million extra consoles on the 360? 

3rd party publishers are going to go Multi-Platform pretty much 85-90% of the time this generation.   Why wouldn't they? 

 

Microsoft has money,  but people grossly over estimate how much money they have to just "give away".