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id say fall 2010 would be a batter launch window.

360 would be 5 years and would stick around for at least another 3 (8+ life cycle, not bad at all).

PS3 would seem antequated and its lifespan will be cut short.

WIll get a jump start on PS4 but unlike this gen, SOny wont have immense PS2 brand loyalty to save them.