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Remember OP said for a single console, multi-plats will have sales divided so they are pretty much out of the equation. That means a big exclusive and only GT5 comes to mind, Halo: ODST releases too late in the year and Halo is not as big as GT (I think so dont kill me if I am wrong.)

GT games have legs so with that said if through some miracle GT5 releases by March then it could do it. Then again 10 months for GT5, I would it would get 5 million sales max so even that game would be very unlikely.

I dunno, if GT5 cannot do it I seriously doubt any other 360 or PS3 game will do it.