Analyst: PS3 continues to lack a clear ‘must-own’ title that will drive sales

[Dodece]

The air is rife with arrogant, and asinine comments from console fanatics. First here is some news for you analysts are paid to analyze, and if they were not successful at what they did. They would not have a job. In the real world failure to succeed results in one losing their job. To discount someones prediction by asserting that they are an idiot is not a valid argument. You must prove why the prediction is bogus, and in what eye the numbers are erring with something a bit more then a hunch or feeling.

This analyst has probably made a decent prediction for the United States. Due to economic woes the consoles price has effectively increased. While the possibility of a price reduction has radically decreased. Further more the console at its current price must soon begin to reach a saturation point. That being consumers who want the hardware, and are willing to pay that price. However that is not an infinite sea to draw a laminar flow from. So sales should begin to sag.

Why would the analyst think this? Well it held true for the 360. Microsoft held firm to its high prices for a very long time, and the sales began to sag at what would be the upcoming year for the PS3. Basically Microsoft was beginning to exhaust demand at a given price point. This should happen to the PS3 this year without a price reduction. It is really simple math if you have ten million persons domestically that can afford to pay the price and have a desire. Then you take six million away one year. You cannot match the previous years success. The mine is beginning to be played out.

Then the analyst took into account a factor that is the wild card or free radical in the equation. A singular piece of software granted that it is compelling enough can and will generate a dramatic increase in sales. A fantastic game breaks price barriers. It generates a much stronger need which can overcome reluctance. Sure he knows nothing of gaming he is just accidentally taking into account an X factor. Which by the way most fanatics on this site absolutely love to do. Banking on a single game saving the day.

I have to say this I think the analyst is correct. I personally do not see a must have title in the lineup that is going to overcome pricing, and further more past must have titles have been spent. They have gotten who they were going to get as it were. For those that did not pick up the console when those games were released those games are not must have. They are merely mildly interested games.

I honestly do not see KZ2 of GT5 performing as some expect. The first title is in a genre that the 360 owns. There is no debating this the 360 has Halo 3, Gears 1&2, and the console definitive version of the Orange Box. Now for GT5 are racers actually must have console moving titles. The answer is no Forza the fairest comparison has not moved three million units in America, and Motorstorm has not even moved two million. That being a launch title by the way. The only racer with massive success is Mariokart. Which has almost moved six million units, but in design its almost in a different genre.

All of this while Microsoft is releasing a title that for all intent and purposes will be a major hardware mover in Halo ODST. Which is sure to carve a hole in this years high definition market. Given the predecessor has moved six and a half million units in North America.