2 million more per year in Japan? It is only selling about 1 million a year right now so it will need to more then double sales in Japan. I am sure FFXIII will give it a huge boost, maybe enough to make it to 2 million this year, not enough to make it to the 2.4 it would need to lead the 360 by 2M. And then after the burst from FF release it will settle much lower then 2M a year. The way Japan is buying consoles even the Wii struggling there relative to other markets.
And if Sony has a 4M unit lead in Japan then one of the other markets is over tracked because the totals match up against their shipped number don't they?
As far as in others I buy they PS3 can take second there over time if things go right.
I think what is more likely to happen then Japan become suddenly a much larger market is for the US HD market to shrink due to economic issues and the even more complete dominance of Wii there. If that happens then the race for second might get very close since others sales will dominant. I say that is more likely, but I do not think it will happen.
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