Is Microsoft afraid of Killzone 2?? By Megaman2!!

[nightsurge]

Anyone remember when LittleBigPlanet got a metacritic score of 95? Remember when MGS4, a much larger and devoted franchise got a metacritic score of 94?

Remember how many they managed to sell for 2008?

MGS4 - 3.75 million (released around the same time of the year as Killzone 2 will)
LBP - 1.5 million

LBP had a higher metacritic score, lots of online hype, but since it was a new franchise and had poor advertising, no where near as many people bought it as was deserved.

Killzone 2 is not a strong franchise. Hardly anyone you come in contact with outside of internet forums are overly hyped about it. All my PS3 friends know about it, and many will get it, but none of them are "OMG THE ULTIMATE GAME EVAR!" Even less likely is that you will run into someone who has actually played the first one.

If Sony doesn't start advertising A LOT and ASAP, this game will get lackluster Resistance 2/LBP sales, in fact I predict it will for these main reasons. The game itself will be great, and get awesome review scores, but if Sony doesn't increase the hype outside of forums and start posting ads everywhere then this game will not be a "sales giant" like Call of Duty, Halo 3, and Gears of War 1/2 on the 360 or MGS4 and GTAIV on the PS3.

I predict week one sales of 900k, and 2009 yearly sales of 2.2 million. That's without any good advertising.
With good advertising (for once) I would predict week one sales of 1.5 million and 2009 yearly sales of 3.5 million (an initial boost of 600k and then another 700k throughout the year). I really doubt this game will sell as much as MGS4 or GTAIV on the PS3.