Mnementh said: This thread doesn't anticipate, the Wii will actually fail. I will only summarize, what could stop the Wii. I will make similar threads for the other consoles, but for the moment it's about the Wii. Reason 1: Nintendo I hear developers of 3rd-party complaining about the late dev-kits for online or Mii's. That sounds not good. The developers of flow said, they asked Nintendo and Sony about releasing the game for their consoles. But Sony put more effort into getting the game, so it's now on the PS3. So the Wii could fail because of the arrogance of Nintendo. Reason 2: Nintendo (again) Nintendo is a great developer of games. Really good games and big sellers. Much better than Sony or Microsoft. So a 3rd-party-developer has to face some strong competition on nintendo-consoles. Reason 3: no HD If in the near future everyone own's a HD-TV (I doubt it, but if this happens), they probably want a console, that uses the features of their tv. Reason 4: bad online-functionality All we hear about it, sounds not too promising at the moment. That else do you think could stop the success of the Wii? Please extend this list. |
Reason one is flawed Certian games already make use of Mii's and Online, like Sega's Pachinko game
Reason two is all on the devs, Miyamoto told them to stop being lazy
Reason 3 is irrelavant as most do not have HDTV's
Reason 4 doesn't seem to be affecting Wii sales, because most casuals don't care about online that much
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)