| Onyxmeth said: What you need to ask also is, when was the last time a 13-time nominated film has come in as the underdog? Titanic sure wasn't. The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King sure wasn't. But if you must know The Fellowship of the Ring came in at 13 nominations as an underdog and lost Best Picture, so there's your example. You can say that it doesn't count because it's LOTR but we all know the third film won, and we know the Academy is willing to give more than one in a series the Best Picture if we look at The Godfather. My apologies about BAFTA. I don't know why I said that. I meant the Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards. Slumdog won there and they have guessed Best Picture correctly 7/10 last years. The only ones they guessed wrong were the two underdog victories of Shakespeare in Love and Crash and they guessed Sideways over Million Dollar Baby which was just incorrect. Even when they got those wrong though, they still gave out some other awards to the eventual Best Picture winner. None were shut out of both the Broadcast Critics and Globes the way Benjamin Button has been. 13 nominations is historically a good way to win when you're also the front runner, which is almost always the case. It happens to not be the case this time. Slumdog is the front runner. Can Benjamin Button win as an underdog? Absolutely. What I don't get is your unwillingness to acknowledge that it's in a losing situation currently regardless of it's number of nominations.
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It will be close, I admit, but I don't see the strong evidence that you do that Slumdog is the frontrunner. I'd be more inclined to agree if I saw some or you were more specific on what you were basing that assumption on.
We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls. The only thing that really worried me was the ether. There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke
It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...." Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson
