| Onyxmeth said: Akuma come on. I know you were hoping that "trend" was going to lead more towards your side as opposed to sitting near the middle. Let me ask you though how many of the winners in the last five years swing my way? 3 of the past five Best Pictures have been won by films that have not led in nominations. Another was a tie and only once, five years ago has a movie with the most nominations won. You don't see a bit of a shift here? That's ok though. I'm going to look up how many former Best Pictures in the last 10 years got completely snubbed by the Globes and BAFTAs and I'll get back to you. Usually they're where Best Pictures build momentum, not lose it. Edit: Yup, no film in the last 10 years that has won Best Picture has won nothing between the BAFTAS and the Globes. Can Benjamin Button break that trend? Sure. But I'm not the only one that understands that losing out completely at both isn't good for Academy momentum, and it's understood at the moment that despite having more noms, Slumdog Millionaire is the favorite to win. Also your trend of frontrunners is working more in my favor than yours. Being the front runner hasn't meant much of anything these last few years. Double Edit: The only two Best Picture nominees that ended up winning but weren't the front runners(predicted by editors) going in were Crash and Shakespeare in Love. All 8 other years, the expected winners came up on top. |
Really? Where are you getting your information. I've found the exact opposite. There were 5 out of 10 in the last ten years that won neither award, 4 of which were very recent:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Globe_Award_for_Best_Motion_Picture_-_Drama
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BAFTA_Award_for_Best_Film
Slumdog has the edge critically, but this is more difficult to determine than any of the other criteria out there. What source are you using to determine what was the critical favorite in years past?
We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls. The only thing that really worried me was the ether. There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke
It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...." Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson
