Well quite a few surprises here. The Reader really snuck up out of nowhere, but it shouldn't be surprising. The Weinsteins have been notorious for sneaking in those noms and wins.
I'm surprised to see Richard Jenkins' nod. That was totally left field.
Kate Winselt being up for the Reader for Best Actress is going to cost her. They should have bumped her to Best Supporting so her Revolutionary Road appearance had a chance there. She would have walked off with one of the two guaranteed.
Amy Adams and Viola Davis will split the votes and both will lose because of it. This is going to give Taraji P. Henson the win because there's no way Marisa Tomei is getting a second one in the same category unless they really felt her performance was head and feet above the rest.
I'm really happy to see Michael Shannon get the nod for Revolutionary Road. He was awesome in it. Always a creepy guy he is.
Akuma, you're still really holding out for Benjamin Button huh? I don't know whether it's the late opening or just critic backlash. If it's the former it could sneak in the win, but otherwise Slumdog looks like a shoe-in at this point.
I'm going to look at trends in the other awards to see which way the Academy is likely to vote. I'll post them here when I'm done.








