Groucho said:
jetrii said:
Groucho said:
| jetrii said:
Groucho said:
I think you are missing the upcoming nanotech wall for tech advancement. All three console makers will want to release a console before those problems get solved, let alone before they are affordably solved. |
That does not make any sense at all. Could you restate that?
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I think you're overestimating hardware advancement, based upon history, and not looking forward at the smaller processes necessary to reduce heat/increase clock (as you suggest) for cheap console hardware. As the process size gets smaller, electron loss gets much worse -- resulting in a lot more heat generated. Unless diamond wafers become the Next Big Thing, or someone cooks up a cheap technique to fabricate chips smaller than 22nm (or even 32nm), the specs you listed are going to be top-of-the-line for several years, at best, and just not feasible for consoles, from a financial standpoint.
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Actually, no, they are not. IBM already has working 45nm Power7 chips with 16 cores. None of these components are revolutionary, they are simply evolutionary. I expect the Cell2 and Power7 CPU to be 45nm and the GPUs to be 55nm or so. They are not anywhere near the situation you described.
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So... they are cheap enough to produce en-masse at 45nm are they? And they run at 4.2 GHz? Sounds great!
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Of course not, they are fairly new. However, the 6 core power6 cores are pretty cheap to produce en-masse and they can run at 4.7Ghz. These cores were released only last year, with Power7 coming next year. Now tell me, why isn't this fissable? Especially since IBM Power7 have dual 8 core chips on a single die. A single 8 core chip will cost less than power6 does now, especially at 45nm.
