Killzone 2 doesn't have to be good to sell well. The game is being massively hyped, set to be advertised well, and will be incredibly front loaded.
Wii games have historically not had huge launches. Thus Conduit would have to sell over a period of time. Conduit is more pressured to be a good game.
The only advantage Conduit has is userbase size and less competition.
I see Killzone 2 hitting a little over 3 mil while Conduit pushes out 1.5 mil.
95% of gamers don't know they are noobs, the 5% who do won't be noobs for long
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