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FishyJoe said:
BTFeather55 said:

     What it will come down to over this 6 year period is the games on the Wii and PS3.  I still think that you are going to see less sales for second and especially starting with the third games in series such as Wii Sports, Play, Music, Fit, as later installments won't really have much room for improvement over the earlier entries and Nintendo is going to have to rely on real games like Zelda and Mario at some point, but the PS3 will have many times the amazing games that the Wii is bringing to the market.  This will create a Gamecube versus PS2 environment between later Wii games and later PS3 games or perhaps a better example is a PSP versus DS environment and as much of last year showed, the PSP was dominating the DS in Japan right up to the introduction of the DSi (Wii 2) last year.  And last week the PSP beat the regular DS by 40,000 units in Japan.

     What this sets up is a scenario where the Wii has managed to use a few faddish games to build up an early lead (much like the DS with Brain Training and Nintendogs); however, over the long haul when more traditional types of games are the ones dominating the market again, the PS3 will show how much better these games are on the PS3 than on the Wii and the PS3 will be routinely whipping the Wii towards the end of the generation pretty much the way the PSP does the standard DS.  Except it will be on a more global basis as the PS3 will get the best support of the two consoles from both Western and Eastern developers.

     That translates into only about a 35-40% chance that the PS3 won't overtake the Wii by the time the PS4 is released.   

 

 

WTF? Does reality play any part in your writings?

Lol.  I was thinking the same thing myself when I read that. 

 



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