Why the Wii could fail

[shams]

Hus said:

1 I just dont see how geting PS2 ports help the wii.... old ass games that everyone alredy played ?

2/3 If wii 3rd party keeps getting out sold by PS3 and 360 versions, why create games more games for it ? wii is not getting army of two or mercenaries. Wii versions would be a waste of time and money for them. Its better to make a 360/PS3/PC game then a wii game. They will support it to a point, not as much as the others.

4 you honestly think wii can compete with live and home ? ... not just gaming but movies, music tv shows.. trailers demos.... ?

Wii is rinding a wave of popularity right now that wont last long, 360 and PS3 will get alot stronger while wiis inferiority becomes more and more apperant.

1/ One of the failings of the GC was no/little 3rd-party support. This has already been reversed with the Wii. Companies are concerned that this transition will take too long, and cost too much money. One easy way to soften this, is to re-release PS2 titles on the Wii (updated controls, etc). This is a good thing for several reasons:

a) Good publicity, lots of shelf space

b) Those with most games, usually (always?) win

c) *if* the titles actually sell units, the publisher will be inclined to create sequels, and keep this going. More Wii development is good for Nintendo. Some publishers (i.e. Majesco - Cooking Mama) will pull out of the "next-gen" title race completely, fearing they can't compete. The Wii is a perfect platform for them to attack.

d) Every extra title released on the Wii *will* sell units. May not be a lot of units, but at least some. So this is a bonus.

 2,3/ Apart from the wrong numbers (see above post), its not always about *raw* units. We never really know the real development cost of titles, and if the title is a "port" it is often done out-of-house, and for a very small sum of money (ports can cost 10% or less of the original/full cost of development). This isn't a simple, "single" answer for this - but quite often, a Wii version can be more profitable than a PS3 one.

4/ Technically - there isn't *anything* in Home or Live that can't be done on a Wii. Sure the graphics won't be as pretty - but that's already a known. And Home is still an unknown - its nothing like Live at all (as MS said - it has nothing to do with gaming). How many people will buy a PS3 just to muck around with Home?

The only thing the Wii is really missing is a hard-disk - and as we all know, that is something that is quite easy to buy/add as an add-on (esp. with easy to use USB ports).

Im not sure Nintendo care about video proviews, IP-TV, etc. They have always move away from size heavy content (movies, music, etc...) in preference of gameplay. From their point of view, that stuff COSTS money - and generates none. They haven't competed there in the past, and Im not sure why they would do so now.

... 

But I'll give you that point (in terms of this thread). One way the Wii can suffer, is if the other consoles prove to be successful in distributing/selling videos, music, TV to home users. If this does happen, I think you'll see Nintendo release either a Wii hard-disk add-on, or an updated model of the Wii (less likely). 

That said - I think the Wii could be a much more successful VoIP (Internet phone) console than either the 360 or PS3 - and I think that has massive killer-app potential.