Why the Wii could fail

[shams]

Andrew said: This is what will kill the wii. The PS3 and xbox sell more combined then it. It is reletivly easy to port between them two. Much harder to port to the wii, developers might want to cash in on the two consoles instead of taking a gamble on one.

By that reasoning, it will win - as the Wii is an easy port from the PS2 (the most successful console ever), whereas the other 2 platforms are not. ... Nintendo stated a goal of selling 60mill units for the Wii. Currently 10% there, supply limited, still hard to get one. At this stage I think it will be hard for Nintendo to NOT reach their 60mill goal - the biggest restriction at the moment is manufacturing. ... What could hurt/fail the Wii? 1/ MS bring out a controller that completely emulates the Wiimote (not sure of legal implications), or beats it. 2/ A massive earthquake in Japan kills most of the staff at Nintendo development studios (please no!! ). 3/ Sony bring out (within the next 12 months) a *new* playstation 2 - with their own Wiimote. Pretty much certain this won't happen. 4/ A fatal flaw in the hardware, kills off 95% of Wii's / Wiimotes overnight (or a virus?). ... - HD / graphics *cannot* hurt the Wii. Its already accepted that it has WORSE graphics - this can only hurt the 360/PS3. - 3rd party support can only (partially) hurt the Wii. Nintendo will always support it, and this is where most sales come from. If the Wii succeeds in the market, economics ensures that 3rd-party support will follow. - online (or lack of) can't hurt it. Firstly we *know* its coming (and it does work) - so its just a matter of time. Secondly people have been going gaga over the Wii - without any significant online support (except for VC). Online can only be a bonus - not a negative (although it could shorten its lifetime).