Sony to Dominate 09? (Note if you dont like Sony Stay out!)

[misterd]

So... only PS3 fanboys allowed, meaning you ask a question and don't really want to hear any responses save agreement.

Sony won't dominate. It should do better - 2008 wasn't a good year, and 2007 was terrible, so there isn't much direction save to go up. How far up will depend on the economy and the price cut (if and when it comes), though even the steepest cut being talked about would keep the console $50-100 above the "sweet spot".

The games will make PS3 owners happy, but nothing that is coming out will move large numbers of gamers to jump into Sony's boat the way Grand Theft Auto 3 did in 2001.

It could do better than the 360. It was already doing so last year prior to the 360 price cut and the economic collapse in September (fortuitous timing for Mircosoft). The matter will largely depend on whether Microsoft chooses to match the price cut (to what extent it can - it obviously can't cut by another $100), or instead add value to the current packages (perhaps by canning the Arcade and dropping the Premium and Elite to the Arcade and Premium prices respectively).

Best case scenario: They cut price early and shave between 1.5-2m consoles off the 360s lead.

Worst case scenario: Sony doesn't cut price, or does only a shallow cut, and the recession drags on, keeping Sony's sales stagnant, and MS increases its lead by another 1.5-2m consoles.

Most likely scenario: Sony cuts price, MS matches to a lesser degree, and Sony picks up about 1m on the 360 by the end of the year.