pearljammer said:
I can't be sure, but I am think that the bulk of a movies lifetime sales come within the first few weeks. In Canada, Blu-rays are initially $29 at release while their DVD counter parts are typically $19. But of course as you said, there are always sales. I actually bought Sweeny Todd on Blu-Ray at Wal-Mart last week for $9.97 and Space Odyssey for $16.97 (as well as a handful of others). I'm not trying to say that blu-ray sales are sky-rocketing by any means, just that it is performing considerably better than your 'worst case scenario' assumption.
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The bulk of a single title's sales will probably be in the first few months, yes; a large part of DVD sales as a whole come from the bargain bin. You know, those $5 movies, the $10 triple-features, all those kind of things. The sales may not be much for an individual title, but there are a lot of those titles.
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