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Kasz216 said:

Also, usually games turn out to be undertracked more then they turn out to be overtracked.

 

This is often based on expectations.  The expectations for MGS 4 were higher, so it was over tracked, for example.  The expectations for LBP were much higher than the sales (tracked or actual, apparently) so LPB is another one likely overtracked.

Undertracked games include those without much hype that sell steadily and not too quickly.  LPB was a very high hype title -- I saw more hype for it than, for example, Super Mario Galaxy.