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I believe you are off with the prediction. The market has widened but not by that much.

Heres mine.

2005 1,179,441
2006 6,762,957
2007 7,929,882
2008 11,341,607
2009 15,000,000
2010 17,000,000
2011 11,000,000
2012 7,000,000
2013 4,000,000
2014 1,500,000

roughly 74 million 360's will be sold.

Unless M$ suddenly appeal to even more Sony fans and also the casuals then they will finish with this.

PS3 will finish with about 50 million.

The wii well that will get over 200,000,000.