Prediction #1 ~:~ Xbox 360 Will sell 100 Million units

[Seece]

WiiStation360 said:

Killergran said:

XBOX 360 Prediction:
2005 1,179,441
2006 6,762,957
2007 7,929,882
2008 11,341,607 = 27.2M

2009 20,000,000
2010 20,000,000
2011 13,000,000
2012 6,000,000
2013 4,000,000 = 63M

Uhm. Yup. Seems likely.
Oh btw...

PS2 Actual:
2000 5,624,582
2001 15,937,894
2002 21,033,514
2003 18,615,891  = 61.2M

2004 15,461,316
2005 17,803,007
2006 12,204,716
2007 9,573,686
2008 7,628,733 = 62.6M

Interesting numbers.  The 360 sold less than half the PS2 in the same time frame.  (27M vs 61M in 3.5 years)

I cannot see how the 360 will suddenly sell more than the PS2 did in its next 5 years.   A more likely scenarios is for the next 5 years to equal the current sales of the 360, just like the PS2 did.  So that puts it at about 55M lifetime.

 

You're correct it wont do anywhere near what this guy is stating BUT I think you're also wron on doubling the 360 numbers as LTD just because the PS2 draws that comparison.

The PS2 reached its peak in 2002 .... its (3rd) year on the market, the 360 is entering its 5th (so to speak) and this year it has to be said its looking more likely the 360 will top this years sales over last years. ...