Prediction #1 ~:~ Xbox 360 Will sell 100 Million units

[nightsurge]

Xen said:

nightsurge said:

Xen said:

Roma said:
Are you the MS version of Crazzyman?

Hey, every company needs one.

100 mln? I give it 52 at best.

 

Now that is a bit extreme on the other side, don't you think?  I mean it is already more than halfway to 52 million...

 

This is based on two factors:

1. Stiffer competiton from Sony this year.

2. MS will release their next console early.

 

The earliest the new console will be out is 2012... Microsoft ususally releases big announcements at E3 for games coming this year, rather than a year or more in advance like Sony.  Sony isn't likely to drop their console price in 2009 or not until LATE 2009 according to all the President of SCEE's remarks.  Software will not be enough if their price stays the same.

Who says MS will discontinue the 360 when the next console is released?  Even if it sees decreasing yearly sales from here on out it will easily reach 52 million before it is finall pulled from construction.

2009 - 8m = 35m
2010 - 7m = 42m
2011 - 6m = 48m
2012 - 4m = 52m

I highly doubt they will sell anywhere near as low as 8 million for 2009.  They may not see decreasing sales until 2010 or 2011.  This generation of consoles seems to break past "trends" quite a bit, so we'll see.