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Maybe, but I would strongly doubt it. At least as far as 2009 goes. It is possible come 2011, and Sony fails to catch up, it drops out. Or, the PS4 comes out and Sony decides to jump on that, and pull the plug on the PS3.

It all depends on what Sony does financially. I would be surprised if it happened, but not caught completely offguard. What Sony is going through now had been the early warnings that other companies have had in the past, that knocked them completely out of the business.

Don't discount the changes going on in the economy currently. Things could end up falling apart even worse. Maybe even Microsoft ends up having to pull out.