How many PS3s will Sony sell in 2009 assuming no price cut or Q4 price cut?

[NJ5]

axumblade said:

NJ5 said:

Diomedes1976 said:
11-12 million without cut.
15-16 with cut .

You're expecting better sales without a price cut than 2008 sales?

 

Probably based on the fact that we already know quite a few big titles coming out this year.. Probably will hear about a few more of them around e3 or before that are coming out.

It's not impossible since White Knight Chronicles is still boosting Ps3 sales in Japan and Yakuza 3 is coming out this year there as well. It might push Sony up another million there (scattered throughout the whole year and not based on those 2 titles alone). Then it would only have to make 5 million a peice between Others and America.

Then of course there are other big PS3 games such as God of War 3, Gran Turismo 5, Final Fantasy XIII, Ratchet & Clank: Future 2 (I know people holding off so they will have more than 1 FULL ratchet & clank game to play), and a few other titles that if they make it out this year will definitely compel people to buy the systems (at least Sony hopes).

I'm not saying it will happen but it wouldn't be impossible for their sales to continue to rise.

 

 

 

Gran Turismo 5, and to a much lower extent FFXIII given its multiplatform status are the only games which I see pushing significant PS3 hardware. This given the effect of the likes of MGS4 and GTA4. MGS4 boosted HW sales but for a very short period.

FFXIII looks unlikely in 2009 except for Japan, so GT5 looks like the only real booster for the year. It's also uncertain for 2009, although I wouldn't be surprised to see Sony "rushing" it out.

However even those two titles wouldn't affect the first half of 2009 sales, which I think will be pretty low considering the low momentum the PS3 has right now. I expect sales to be more than 30% down year-on-year in the first few months of the year.