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Groucho said:

12 million.

I just like to be the only guy who is right, when I am right, and if I'm wrong.. I may as well be WAY off. =)

Crazzyman is predicting PS3 sales for 2009 to be at the worst 14-16 million (not sure how a range works when saying "at worst" but whatever) and if there is a price cut + KZ2 + long list of Crazzy abbreiviations it will sell 22-24 million.

So it depends how far off you want to be I suppose.