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God of War III, Gran Turismo 5 and Final Fantasy XIII will cut that 8 million gap by 1.5 to 2 million at least. Probably more if any of them coincide with a $100 price cut. Honestly though, how fast Sony catches up depends just as much on how well the 360 sells. Personally, I see Microsoft having serious difficulties selling as many 360s in 2009 as they did in 2008. Sans perhaps Star Ocean 4 and Splinter Cell Conviction, the 360 lacks ANY definite system selling games. Almost every single game on the 360's tentative 2009 release list is either a new IP (Alan Wake, Ninja Blade, Venetica, etc) or a sequel/spin-off to a game that's already saturated the 360's market. (Halo 3: ODST, Halo Wars, Forza 3, Mass Effect 2, etc) Furthermore, after the Christmas rush has calmed down, PS3 sales and 360 sales will begin to level out once again with either one only selling slightly more than the other. That being said, now that the 360 is only $200, there's really no room left for Microsoft to issue a game changing price cut. The most they can likely do by the end of 2009 is drop the Arcade to $150, which will seem meager next to the PS3's $100 price drop.