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twesterm said:

Just curious, are you counting the PS3 as a BluRay player in your estimate? If so that's just wrong. Remember that onyl a good 40% know that the PS3 has a BluRay player and not even all of those use it as a BluRay player. I know if I had a PS3 I still wouldn't bother buying BluRay players because I don't want to buy a format that might lose (not saying it is just that it can).


I'd be willing to buy a format that might lose if I needed a new, decent DVD player anyhow and it was $99.  There is a reasonable chance HD-DVD players will be available with 5+ free movies for $99 - $149 this holiday season.  At those prices, people would be willing to buy it for the free HD movies alone.