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lvader said:
Hmmm, the fact remains is that the new HD formats are well ahead of where DVD was at the same point in it's life.

HD DVD player prices are already getting close to the point where people will just buy it instead of a DVD player and once the media prices come down there will be no point in buying DVDs anymore. It's quite possible that the likes of Paramount and Universal might release ALL films as DVD/HD DVD dual format in the future.

PS There is NO difference between feeding a 1080p display 1080i or 1080p from a HD DVD or Blu Ray film. It's a completely lossless conversion.

That's not true at all.  The only difference is that Blu-Ray had a movie sell 100,000 copies faster than ever before.  It takes both formats combined to even get near the market share that DVD had at this point in it's life.  Really all that stuff like this does is draw it out even longer, and make it harder for the consumer to make a decision.  This gives alternate formats even more time to develop.  If one side wins, it will be the one that's cheapest.  I would say at this point that's most likely to be HD DVD.  I still have no confidence in that yet though.  I'm not saying it's impossible for one to win, just unlikely.