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Squilliam said:
BTFeather55 said:

     Microsoft won't want to release their next console without a big title to sell it.  Right now, the Halo series is on a downturn as far as popularity goes and with ODST set to be Bungie's last Halo game.  The next biggest title in the 360's lineup after Gears is Fable, and it really hasn't shown itself to be much of a system seller.  Gears on the other hand has mass appeal and is Microsoft's biggest property right now.  So, the timing of Gears 3 will be what they use to drive the sales of the next XBOX.  They wouldn't wait on third party games as waiting to sell a $500.00 system wouldn't be determined by third parties since those games will be available on other systems.  Market share has little to do with the MS's plans for the Nextbox; however, Gears of War 3 does.  Also, I would say Epic doesn't want to wait too long to release Gears 3 because they wouldn't want some other property to steal their thunder on the Nextbox as Gears did to a bit of Halo's on the 360.

 

1. Halo 3 > Halo 2 > Halo 1 so the series is as strong as ever.

2. The next strongest 1st party after Halo is actually Forza

3. The Lawlz 4 year console idea has been discredited a million times.

4. $500 System? Only Sony smokes that crack

5. They could sell the Xbox 360 at the same price as the PS3 and it will continue to sell, such is its momentum

 

 

 

 1.  ODST is Bungie's last Halo game.  If Halo 4 is made by someone other than Bungie, then it won't sell as well.

 2.  Gears I and II have sold more copies than Forza I and II.

 3.  In another post, I said it was unlikely that the Nextbox would be coming out in 2009,  I also said it would be surprising if it comes out any later than 2010.  Of course until GDC 2009 and E3 2009 roll around without a NB announcement, then the four year console notion may be discredited but not disproven.  There is a difference.

4.  How much was the 360 at launch?  The new console will probably cost as much.

5.  Wouldn't be selling at PS3 numbers though that's for sure.   



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