What do you think will be the PS3's LTD sales?

[BTFeather55]

Kantor said:

BTFeather55 said:

My Prediction for when I believe the current consoles will be retired:

Wii 80,000,000 -100,000,000
PS3 50,000,000-102,000,000
360 37,500,000 - 50,000,000 (It will be replaced by the next one before Gears 3 comes out imho)

Well, that's cheating. A 52 million range?

And you expect the NextBox to come out before November 2010?

 

      I expect the next xbox to come  out prior to Gears 3.  It would be a big surprise if it was announced at the GDC that should be coming up in about eight weeks or so from now (I really haven't looked up its date, but it seems like the place where MS likes to make their big announcements), but I think it won't be released any later than November 2010.  Of course there could be three years between Gears 2 and 3 like there was between Halo 2 and 3, so I guess Gears 3 could be released in 2011 and maybe the next xbox at the same time.  If the next xbox comes out November 2011, then another 10 million should probably be added to my 360 number.

     One thing  I think this will really depend upon though is how certain games being released this year fare in sales and reviews.  If Halo Wars, Star Ocean 4, and Alan Wake come out to rave reviews and tremendous sales, the lifespan of the 360 would be lengthened to 2011; however, if some of these key games follow the patterns of some of the ones from last year like Ninja Gaiden II, Too Human, etc, then you would expect a shorter 360 lifespan.