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mibuokami on 02 January 2009
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BTFeather55 said:
Dodece said:
I cannot help but notice that others attacked me, but did not explain one critical thing. Where the hell is the PS3 to get these sales. What will be the impetus to maintain the current level of sales. Do not make the same mistake again, and just assume that it being a Playstation means it will sell ten million a year.

The console is out of price position, has the weaker high definition library, has fewer exclusives, and is most likely fast running out of early adopters. Yes eventually the console must actually sell on merit, and that usually means the console must have a positive differentiation from its competition. Basically the PS3 is a pale imitation of the 360. That is a huge problem that not even Nintendo had to deal with. No matter what Nintendo was always a strange alternative. Their first party lineup was a drastic high quality departure from the competition. Sony doesn't even have that. They cannot be the less popular, but still viable alternative.

 

Well for one thing, the PS3 is going to have quality exclusives this year and next and FFXIII exclusivity in Japan guarantees at least one million PS3 consoles to be sold in that country on the strength of that title alone. And the same with FF Versus XIII and now that the PS3 is gaining its footing in Japan you will see more Japanese titles headed its way.

Then you have the fact that the 360 is going to be phased out in my honest opinion much like the original XBOX at some point during the next two years and prior to the release of Gears of War 3. The next xbox will either be introduced at this Spring's GDC or next Spring's GDC and 2009 for the 360 is pretty much the same as 2004 or 2005 for the original xbox. One (or two) big Halo titles to go for the 360 to be released in 2009, then it is into the next stage of the xbox plan which includes Gears 3 being their next console's must have launch title.

Since the PS3 will be cheaper than it is now, much more technologically capable, and have much bigger games headed its way (aside from the next Zelda and Mario) than the Wii and Wii HD plus the PS3's having later gen quality games headed its way while the Nextbox's library is just beginning to add its first notable titles other than Gears 3 and with the PS3 being $200.00-$300.00 cheaper than the Nextbox at the same time, then you will see a big push for PS3 during 2009-2012.

Now I must find myself being the devil's advocate, I am fully confident in the PS3's ability to achieve the OP's sale target and beyond but I absolutely refuse to believe that MS will phase out the 360 as per the above. It is recieving excellent third party support and due to the nature of the HD console twin, will continue to be supported so long as the PS3 is. There is no reason for MS to phase out their console before the PS3 unless the next 2-3 years see them losing significant market share.